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Renewable Policy
Cost Reduction Dynamics
How learning curves, economies of scale, and technological innovation drive down renewable energy costs
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Section 2 of 5The Power of Learning Curves
Renewable energy costs have plummeted dramatically over the past decade, following predictable learning curves where costs decline by 15-25% each time cumulative production doubles. This "experience curve" effect is driven by multiple reinforcing factors.
Solar photovoltaic costs have fallen by over 90% since 2010, wind power by 70%, and battery storage costs have dropped 85% in just the last decade. These reductions aren't random - they're the result of systematic improvements across the entire value chain.
Key Cost Reduction Drivers
- Manufacturing Scale: Mass production reduces per-unit costs through automation and specialization
- Technology Innovation: Better materials, designs, and manufacturing processes improve efficiency
- Supply Chain Optimization: Global sourcing and just-in-time manufacturing reduce overhead
- Market Competition: More players drive innovation and efficiency improvements
Interactive Cost Reduction Timeline
Cost Reduction Timeline: Solar PV
1975
$76.67/unit
-0%
1987
$57.91/unit
-24%
1999
$39.14/unit
-49%
2011
$20.38/unit
-73%
2023
$1.61/unit
-98%
Learning Curve Effect
Each time cumulative production doubles, costs typically fall by 15-25% due to:
Manufacturing process improvements
Economies of scale in production
Supply chain optimization
Research and development investments