Previous Module
Renewable Policy

Cost Reduction Dynamics

How learning curves, economies of scale, and technological innovation drive down renewable energy costs

The Power of Learning Curves

Renewable energy costs have plummeted dramatically over the past decade, following predictable learning curves where costs decline by 15-25% each time cumulative production doubles. This "experience curve" effect is driven by multiple reinforcing factors.

Solar photovoltaic costs have fallen by over 90% since 2010, wind power by 70%, and battery storage costs have dropped 85% in just the last decade. These reductions aren't random - they're the result of systematic improvements across the entire value chain.

Key Cost Reduction Drivers

  • Manufacturing Scale: Mass production reduces per-unit costs through automation and specialization
  • Technology Innovation: Better materials, designs, and manufacturing processes improve efficiency
  • Supply Chain Optimization: Global sourcing and just-in-time manufacturing reduce overhead
  • Market Competition: More players drive innovation and efficiency improvements

Interactive Cost Reduction Timeline

Cost Reduction Timeline: Solar PV

1975
$76.67/unit
-0%
1987
$57.91/unit
-24%
1999
$39.14/unit
-49%
2011
$20.38/unit
-73%
2023
$1.61/unit
-98%
Learning Curve Effect

Each time cumulative production doubles, costs typically fall by 15-25% due to:

Manufacturing process improvements
Economies of scale in production
Supply chain optimization
Research and development investments
Previous
Introduction